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Titel och upphov The precipice : existential risk and the future of humanity
Utgivning, distribution etc. Hachette Books, New York : [2020]
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Fysisk beskrivning x, 468 sidor illustrationer 24 cm
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Elektronisk adress och åtkomst (URI) Omslagsbild https://s2.adlibris.com/images/53218005/the-precipice-existential-risk-and-the-future-of-humanity.jpg
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This urgent and eye-opening book makes the case that protecting humanity's future is the central challenge of our time. If all goes well, human history is just beginning. Our species could survive for billions of years - enough time to end disease, poverty, and injustice, and to flourish in ways unimaginable today. But this vast future is at risk. With the advent of nuclear weapons, humanity entered a new age, where we face existential catastrophes - those from which we could never come back. Since then, these dangers have only multiplied, from climate change to engineered pathogens and artificial intelligence. If we do not act fast to reach a place of safety, it will soon be too late. Drawing on over a decade of research, The Precipice explores the cutting-edge science behind the risks we face. It puts them in the context of the greater story of humanity: showing how ending these risks is among the most pressing moral issues of our time. And it points the way forward, to the actions and strategies that can safeguard humanity. An Oxford philosopher committed to putting ideas into action, Toby Ord has advised the US National Intelligence Council, the UK Prime Minister's Office, and the World Bank on the biggest questions facing humanity. In The Precipice , he offers a startling reassessment of human history, the future we are failing to protect, and the steps we must take to ensure that our generation is not the last. "A book that seems made for the present moment." -- N ew Yorker
List of Figures p. ix List of Tables p. x The Stakes Standing at the Precipice p. 11 How We Got Here p. 12 Where We Might Go p. 20 The Precipice p. 22 Existential Risk p. 35 Understanding Existential Risk p. 36 Looking to the Present p. 42 Looking to Our Future p. 43 Looking to Our Past p. 49 Civilizational Virtues p. 52 Cosmic Significance p. 53 Uncertainty p. 56 Our Neglect of Existential Risks p. 57 The Risks Natural Risks p. 67 Asteroids & Comets p. 67 Supervolcanic Eruptions p. 74 Stellar Explosions p. 77 Other Natural Risks p. 79 The Total Natural Risk p. 80 Anthropogenic Risks p. 89 Nuclear Weapons p. 90 Climate Change p. 102 Environmental Damage p. 113 Future Risks p. 121 Pandemics p. 124 Unaligned Artificial Intelligence p. 138 Dystopian Scenarios p. 153 Other Risks p. 158 The Path Forward The Risk Landscape p. 165 Quantifying the Risks p. 165 Combining and Comparing Risks p. 173 Risk Factors p. 175 Which Risks? p. 180 Safeguarding Humanity p. 187 Grand Strategy for Humanity p. 189 Risks Without Precedent p. 195 International Coordination p. 199 Technological Progress p. 205 Research on Existential Risk p. 210 What You Can Do p. 214 Our Potential p. 217 Duration p. 218 Scale p. 226 Quality p. 235 Choices p. 239 Resources p. 243 Acknowledgments p. 245 Appendices p. 251 Further Reading p. 285 Notes p. 289 Bibliography p. 423 Index p. 461